Almond Production By Country (2026) (in-shell)
Almond production in shell by country data from 2018-2024 FAO records paired with 2026 projections across 49 territories traces the world almond production in shell landscape. The United States remains the largest almond producer in shell, with Australia and Spain forming the next supply tier.
Key Takeaways
- United States led global almond output in shell in 2024 with 2,000,340 tonnes, maintaining a dominant market share.
- Australia ranked second at 370,000 tonnes in the 2024 dataset.
- Portugal recorded the strongest growth trajectory, rising from 21,640 tonnes in 2018 to 90,760 tonnes in 2024.
- Dataset covers 49 territories using 2018-2024 FAO data alongside modeled 2026 projections.
The global distribution is visible in the map above, with the full production ranking shown in the table below.
Almond Production (in Shell) by Country (2024 FAO Data)
Australia and Spain Are Nearly Level
The 2024 ranking is still anchored by the United States, but the closest fight is below California. Australia produced 370,000 tonnes and Spain produced 369,700 tonnes, leaving only 300 tonnes between the second and third positions.
California, the Mediterranean, and Australia Split the Scale
Almond production is split between industrial-scale orchards and older Mediterranean or dryland systems. That mix matters because a strong year in Spain, Australia, or Türkiye can change the ranking even when the United States remains far ahead.
- North America: The United States produced 2.00 million tonnes in 2024, more than five times Australia's total. Mexico was present in the dataset, but its 48 tonnes keeps it outside the commercial almond supply discussion.
- Mediterranean producers: Spain produced 369,700 tonnes, Türkiye reached 200,000 tonnes, Morocco produced 163,616 tonnes, Italy added 74,960 tonnes, Algeria contributed 68,513 tonnes, and Syria produced 60,830 tonnes. The region has scale, but several countries show visible year-to-year swings.
- Oceania and South America: Australia produced 370,000 tonnes and remained the strongest non-US export-oriented producer in the table. Chile produced 45,972 tonnes, giving South America a smaller but still relevant role.
Growth Stories & Weak Spots
Portugal is the clearest expansion story in the current dataset, moving from 21,640 tonnes in 2018 to 90,760 tonnes in 2024. Iran moved in the opposite direction over the same period, falling from 200,882 tonnes in 2018 to 132,106 tonnes in 2024 despite some recovery from its 2022 low.
Water Pressure Shapes the Supply Risk
Almonds are highly exposed to water availability because many large producing areas rely on irrigation. California, Spain, Australia, and parts of North Africa all face some combination of drought risk, water allocation pressure, heat stress, and input-cost volatility.
Post-2020 Volatility Pulls Down the US Forecast
The 2026 estimates keep the United States well ahead, but the model is conservative after the volatility seen since the 2020 peak. Australia is estimated at 393,260 tonnes, Spain at 325,991 tonnes, and Türkiye at 204,269 tonnes.
- United States: Estimated at 1.78 million tonnes by 2026, below the 2024 level because the recent series includes weaker post-2020 years.
- Australia: Estimated at 393,260 tonnes by 2026, reflecting a strong 2024 base and a still-large recent orchard footprint.
- Spain: Estimated at 325,991 tonnes by 2026, with the forecast tempered by the weak 2022 harvest.
- Türkiye: Estimated at 204,269 tonnes by 2026, keeping it ahead of Morocco and Iran in the forecast table.
Almond Production (in Shell) by Country: 2018-2024 Data and 2026 Estimates
| # |
Country
|
2026 (est.)
|
2024
|
2023
|
2022
|
2021
|
2020
|
2019
|
2018
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
1,780,436 | 2,000,340 | 1,751,770 | 1,869,160 | 2,204,370 | 2,345,070 | 1,913,160 | 1,721,380 |
| 2 |
|
393,260 | 370,000 | 320,000 | 365,000 | 316,000 | 258,000 | 212,000 | 173,000 |
| 3 |
|
325,991 | 369,700 | 297,660 | 245,990 | 365,210 | 416,950 | 340,420 | 339,030 |
| 4 |
|
204,269 | 200,000 | 170,000 | 190,000 | 178,000 | 159,187 | 150,000 | 100,000 |
| 5 |
|
157,304 | 163,616 | 146,459 | 175,763 | 169,255 | 134,436 | 102,185 | 117,270 |
| 6 |
|
133,314 | 132,106 | 116,279 | 88,561 | 100,049 | 141,737 | 177,015 | 200,882 |
| 7 |
|
84,806 | 90,760 | 69,510 | 46,220 | 41,450 | 31,610 | 32,300 | 21,640 |
| 8 |
|
78,038 | 74,960 | 77,680 | 74,590 | 71,620 | 80,520 | 77,300 | 79,800 |
| 9 |
|
74,000 | 70,873 | 70,437 | 70,000 | 66,000 | 62,000 | 75,000 | 68,000 |
| 10 |
|
70,958 | 69,316 | 67,000 | 63,515 | 64,256 | 39,307 | 38,205 | 34,413 |
| 11 |
|
76,202 | 68,513 | 69,735 | 63,211 | 55,448 | 60,832 | 72,412 | 57,213 |
| 12 |
|
60,830 | 60,830 | 135,433 | 31,617 | 87,768 | 123,017 | 80,258 | 98,446 |
| 13 |
|
48,000 | 48,000 | 10,000 | 104,000 | 84,000 | 88,000 | 90,000 | 86,000 |
| 14 |
|
45,016 | 45,972 | 46,844 | 49,039 | 48,805 | 45,276 | 42,588 | 40,788 |
| 15 |
|
37,504 | 36,677 | 36,460 | 33,989 | 34,600 | 34,690 | 38,420 | 37,470 |
| 16 |
|
37,676 | 30,780 | 36,730 | 39,680 | 26,790 | 28,240 | 21,950 | 26,710 |
| 17 |
|
30,513 | 29,482 | 28,262 | 30,945 | 27,896 | 31,202 | 21,411 | 19,446 |
| 18 |
|
16,064 | 16,757 | 17,345 | 18,106 | 18,570 | 21,094 | 20,027 | 19,994 |
| 19 |
|
14,823 | 14,233 | 14,233 | 13,603 | 13,214 | 12,466 | 11,340 | 10,483 |
| 20 |
|
13,080 | 12,345 | 12,455 | 12,046 | 11,282 | 10,874 | 10,967 | 13,688 |
| 21 |
|
10,433 | 10,300 | 10,526 | 10,071 | 10,136 | 10,844 | 15,554 | 28,811 |
| 22 |
|
9,135 | 9,005 | 10,503 | 10,803 | 10,028 | 9,228 | 10,006 | 8,503 |
| 23 |
|
3,986 | 3,579 | 4,236 | 5,318 | 3,116 | 1469 | 916 | 1037 |
| 24 |
|
3,217 | 3,500 | 3,671 | 3,466 | 3,378 | 3,633 | 3,671 | 3,500 |
| 25 |
|
3,175 | 3,165 | 3,172 | 3,179 | 3,158 | 3,140 | 3,154 | 3,166 |
| 26 |
|
2,369 | 2,180 | 2,130 | 2,520 | 1940 | 2060 | 1130 | 1130 |
| 27 |
|
1910 | 1945 | 1937 | 1913 | 1985 | 1914 | 1841 | 2,200 |
| 28 |
|
2,281 | 1789 | 2,652 | 1848 | 1535 | 1403 | 1409 | 1685 |
| 29 |
|
1686 | 1689 | 1691 | 1684 | 1693 | 1695 | 1662 | 1723 |
| 30 |
|
1690 | 1687 | 1681 | 1676 | 1677 | 1616 | 1624 | 1636 |
| 31 |
|
1006 | 1140 | 620 | 960 | 830 | 470 | 720 | 1290 |
| 32 |
|
1058 | 1060 | 1053 | 1045 | 1055 | 1048 | 1045 | 1037 |
| 33 |
|
1016 | 1013 | 1015 | 1017 | 1010 | 1006 | 1013 | 1006 |
| 34 |
|
979 | 982 | 985 | 976 | 986 | 969 | 944 | 939 |
| 35 |
|
674 | 703 | 411 | 801 | 633 | 801 | 568 | 574 |
| 36 |
|
694 | 693 | 691 | 690 | 690 | 679 | 681 | 684 |
| 37 |
|
650 | 650 | 652 | 649 | 651 | 656 | 639 | 657 |
| 38 |
|
433 | 431 | 432 | 434 | 429 | 425 | 424 | 428 |
| 39 |
|
130 | 430 | 130 | 130 | 70 | 780 | 250 | 60 |
| 40 |
|
390 | 390 | 350 | 410 | 190 | 130 | 130 | 110 |
| 41 |
|
390 | 370 | 380 | 420 | 360 | 470 | 340 | 350 |
| 42 |
|
248 | 314 | 165 | 136 | 135 | 440 | 1337 | 700 |
| 43 |
|
149 | 181 | 118 | 71 | 37 | 71 | 118 | 181 |
| 44 |
|
129 | 123 | 120 | 118 | 112 | 105 | 120 | 123 |
| 45 |
|
100 | 100 | 100 | 99 | 100 | 101 | 103 | 103 |
| 46 |
|
48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 47 |
| 47 |
|
30 | 36 | 36 | 18 | 75 | 80 | 84 | 85 |
| 48 |
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 49 |
|
8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Why does the United States lead almond production in shell?
A: The United States led the 2024 dataset with 2,000,340 tonnes, equal to about 50.8% of reported production. That lead is tied to California's large commercial orchard base, processing capacity, and export infrastructure, but the same concentration also makes water policy and drought conditions central risks for the market.
Q: Which almond producers changed the 2024 ranking most?
A: Spain and Australia were the main movers near the top. Spain recovered to 369,700 tonnes after a weak 2022 result, while Australia reached 370,000 tonnes and narrowly ranked ahead of Spain. Portugal also stood out below the top tier, rising to 90,760 tonnes in 2024 after producing only 21,640 tonnes in 2018.
Data Disclaimer: Projected data (future years) are estimates based on mathematical models. Actual values may differ. Learn about our methodology →
Sources
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Updated: 28.05.2026https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/QCL
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