Almond Production By Country (2026) (in-shell)

Almond production in shell by country data from 2018-2024 FAO records paired with 2026 projections across 49 territories traces the world almond production in shell landscape. The United States remains the largest almond producer in shell, with Australia and Spain forming the next supply tier.

Key Takeaways

  • United States led global almond output in shell in 2024 with 2,000,340 tonnes, maintaining a dominant market share.
  • Australia ranked second at 370,000 tonnes in the 2024 dataset.
  • Portugal recorded the strongest growth trajectory, rising from 21,640 tonnes in 2018 to 90,760 tonnes in 2024.
  • Dataset covers 49 territories using 2018-2024 FAO data alongside modeled 2026 projections.
Almond Production (in Shell) Map by Country (2024 FAO Data)

The global distribution is visible in the map above, with the full production ranking shown in the table below.

Almond Production (in Shell) by Country (2024 FAO Data)

#
Country
2024 (Tonne)
1
United States
United States US
2,000,340
2
Australia
Australia AU
370,000
3
Spain
Spain ES
369,700
4
Türkiye
Türkiye TR
200,000
5
Morocco
Morocco MA
163,616
6
Iran
Iran IR
132,106
7
Portugal
Portugal PT
90,760
8
Italy
Italy IT
74,960
9
Tunisia
Tunisia TN
70,873
10
Afghanistan
Afghanistan AF
69,316
11
Algeria
Algeria DZ
68,513
12
Syria
Syria SY
60,830
13
China
China CN
48,000
14
Chile
Chile CL
45,972
15
Libya
Libya LY
36,677
16
Greece
Greece GR
30,780
17
Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan UZ
29,482
18
Pakistan
Pakistan PK
16,757
19
Yemen
Yemen YE
14,233
20
India
India IN
12,345
21
Lebanon
Lebanon LB
10,300
22
Israel
Israel IL
9,005
23
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan AZ
3,579
24
Palestine
Palestine PS
3,500
25
Tajikistan
Tajikistan TJ
3,165
26
France
France FR
2,180
27
Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso BF
1945
28
Jordan
Jordan JO
1789
29
Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast CI
1689
30
Kyrgyzstan
Kyrgyzstan KG
1687
31
Bulgaria
Bulgaria BG
1140
32
Eswatini
Eswatini SZ
1060
33
Turkmenistan
Turkmenistan TM
1013
34
Georgia
Georgia GE
982
35
North Macedonia
North Macedonia MK
703
36
Argentina
Argentina AR
693
37
Moldova
Moldova MD
650
38
Iraq
Iraq IQ
431
39
Croatia
Croatia HR
430
40
Hungary
Hungary HU
390
41
Cyprus
Cyprus CY
370
42
United Arab Emirates
United Arab Emirates AE
314
43
Qatar
Qatar QA
181
44
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia SA
123
45
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan KZ
100
46
Mexico
Mexico MX
48
47
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia and Herzegovina BA
36
48
Slovenia
Slovenia SI
10
49
Nepal
Nepal NP
8

Australia and Spain Are Nearly Level

The 2024 ranking is still anchored by the United States, but the closest fight is below California. Australia produced 370,000 tonnes and Spain produced 369,700 tonnes, leaving only 300 tonnes between the second and third positions.

California, the Mediterranean, and Australia Split the Scale

Almond production is split between industrial-scale orchards and older Mediterranean or dryland systems. That mix matters because a strong year in Spain, Australia, or Türkiye can change the ranking even when the United States remains far ahead.

  • North America: The United States produced 2.00 million tonnes in 2024, more than five times Australia's total. Mexico was present in the dataset, but its 48 tonnes keeps it outside the commercial almond supply discussion.
  • Mediterranean producers: Spain produced 369,700 tonnes, Türkiye reached 200,000 tonnes, Morocco produced 163,616 tonnes, Italy added 74,960 tonnes, Algeria contributed 68,513 tonnes, and Syria produced 60,830 tonnes. The region has scale, but several countries show visible year-to-year swings.
  • Oceania and South America: Australia produced 370,000 tonnes and remained the strongest non-US export-oriented producer in the table. Chile produced 45,972 tonnes, giving South America a smaller but still relevant role.

Growth Stories & Weak Spots

Portugal is the clearest expansion story in the current dataset, moving from 21,640 tonnes in 2018 to 90,760 tonnes in 2024. Iran moved in the opposite direction over the same period, falling from 200,882 tonnes in 2018 to 132,106 tonnes in 2024 despite some recovery from its 2022 low.

Water Pressure Shapes the Supply Risk

Almonds are highly exposed to water availability because many large producing areas rely on irrigation. California, Spain, Australia, and parts of North Africa all face some combination of drought risk, water allocation pressure, heat stress, and input-cost volatility.

2026 Forecast Methodology: The almond estimates are built separately from the reported FAO history. Recent output is weighted toward the newest year in the file, using 2024 at 50%, 2023 at 30%, and 2022 at 20%, then adjusted with a capped 2021-2024 trend. Countries with unstable harvest swings are pulled toward tighter limits or a recent median so a single unusual season does not drive the 2026 figure.

Post-2020 Volatility Pulls Down the US Forecast

The 2026 estimates keep the United States well ahead, but the model is conservative after the volatility seen since the 2020 peak. Australia is estimated at 393,260 tonnes, Spain at 325,991 tonnes, and Türkiye at 204,269 tonnes.

  • United States: Estimated at 1.78 million tonnes by 2026, below the 2024 level because the recent series includes weaker post-2020 years.
  • Australia: Estimated at 393,260 tonnes by 2026, reflecting a strong 2024 base and a still-large recent orchard footprint.
  • Spain: Estimated at 325,991 tonnes by 2026, with the forecast tempered by the weak 2022 harvest.
  • Türkiye: Estimated at 204,269 tonnes by 2026, keeping it ahead of Morocco and Iran in the forecast table.

Almond Production (in Shell) by Country: 2018-2024 Data and 2026 Estimates

#
Country
2026 (est.)
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
1
United States
United States
1,780,436 2,000,340 1,751,770 1,869,160 2,204,370 2,345,070 1,913,160 1,721,380
2
Australia
Australia
393,260 370,000 320,000 365,000 316,000 258,000 212,000 173,000
3
Spain
Spain
325,991 369,700 297,660 245,990 365,210 416,950 340,420 339,030
4
Türkiye
Türkiye
204,269 200,000 170,000 190,000 178,000 159,187 150,000 100,000
5
Morocco
Morocco
157,304 163,616 146,459 175,763 169,255 134,436 102,185 117,270
6
Iran
Iran
133,314 132,106 116,279 88,561 100,049 141,737 177,015 200,882
7
Portugal
Portugal
84,806 90,760 69,510 46,220 41,450 31,610 32,300 21,640
8
Italy
Italy
78,038 74,960 77,680 74,590 71,620 80,520 77,300 79,800
9
Tunisia
Tunisia
74,000 70,873 70,437 70,000 66,000 62,000 75,000 68,000
10
Afghanistan
Afghanistan
70,958 69,316 67,000 63,515 64,256 39,307 38,205 34,413
11
Algeria
Algeria
76,202 68,513 69,735 63,211 55,448 60,832 72,412 57,213
12
Syria
Syria
60,830 60,830 135,433 31,617 87,768 123,017 80,258 98,446
13
China
China
48,000 48,000 10,000 104,000 84,000 88,000 90,000 86,000
14
Chile
Chile
45,016 45,972 46,844 49,039 48,805 45,276 42,588 40,788
15
Libya
Libya
37,504 36,677 36,460 33,989 34,600 34,690 38,420 37,470
16
Greece
Greece
37,676 30,780 36,730 39,680 26,790 28,240 21,950 26,710
17
Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan
30,513 29,482 28,262 30,945 27,896 31,202 21,411 19,446
18
Pakistan
Pakistan
16,064 16,757 17,345 18,106 18,570 21,094 20,027 19,994
19
Yemen
Yemen
14,823 14,233 14,233 13,603 13,214 12,466 11,340 10,483
20
India
India
13,080 12,345 12,455 12,046 11,282 10,874 10,967 13,688
21
Lebanon
Lebanon
10,433 10,300 10,526 10,071 10,136 10,844 15,554 28,811
22
Israel
Israel
9,135 9,005 10,503 10,803 10,028 9,228 10,006 8,503
23
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan
3,986 3,579 4,236 5,318 3,116 1469 916 1037
24
Palestine
Palestine
3,217 3,500 3,671 3,466 3,378 3,633 3,671 3,500
25
Tajikistan
Tajikistan
3,175 3,165 3,172 3,179 3,158 3,140 3,154 3,166
26
France
France
2,369 2,180 2,130 2,520 1940 2060 1130 1130
27
Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso
1910 1945 1937 1913 1985 1914 1841 2,200
28
Jordan
Jordan
2,281 1789 2,652 1848 1535 1403 1409 1685
29
Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast
1686 1689 1691 1684 1693 1695 1662 1723
30
Kyrgyzstan
Kyrgyzstan
1690 1687 1681 1676 1677 1616 1624 1636
31
Bulgaria
Bulgaria
1006 1140 620 960 830 470 720 1290
32
Eswatini
Eswatini
1058 1060 1053 1045 1055 1048 1045 1037
33
Turkmenistan
Turkmenistan
1016 1013 1015 1017 1010 1006 1013 1006
34
Georgia
Georgia
979 982 985 976 986 969 944 939
35
North Macedonia
North Macedonia
674 703 411 801 633 801 568 574
36
Argentina
Argentina
694 693 691 690 690 679 681 684
37
Moldova
Moldova
650 650 652 649 651 656 639 657
38
Iraq
Iraq
433 431 432 434 429 425 424 428
39
Croatia
Croatia
130 430 130 130 70 780 250 60
40
Hungary
Hungary
390 390 350 410 190 130 130 110
41
Cyprus
Cyprus
390 370 380 420 360 470 340 350
42
United Arab Emirates
United Arab Emirates
248 314 165 136 135 440 1337 700
43
Qatar
Qatar
149 181 118 71 37 71 118 181
44
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
129 123 120 118 112 105 120 123
45
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan
100 100 100 99 100 101 103 103
46
Mexico
Mexico
48 48 48 48 48 48 48 47
47
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia and Herzegovina
30 36 36 18 75 80 84 85
48
Slovenia
Slovenia
10 10 0 10 10 10 0 0
49
Nepal
Nepal
8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: Why does the United States lead almond production in shell?

A: The United States led the 2024 dataset with 2,000,340 tonnes, equal to about 50.8% of reported production. That lead is tied to California's large commercial orchard base, processing capacity, and export infrastructure, but the same concentration also makes water policy and drought conditions central risks for the market.

Q: Which almond producers changed the 2024 ranking most?

A: Spain and Australia were the main movers near the top. Spain recovered to 369,700 tonnes after a weak 2022 result, while Australia reached 370,000 tonnes and narrowly ranked ahead of Spain. Portugal also stood out below the top tier, rising to 90,760 tonnes in 2024 after producing only 21,640 tonnes in 2018.

Data Disclaimer: Projected data (future years) are estimates based on mathematical models. Actual values may differ. Learn about our methodology →

Sources

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