High School Out-of-School Rate by Country 2026
High school out-of-school rates measure the percentage of youth of high school age not enrolled in school. This indicator is critical because high school education represents the final stage of compulsory education in most countries and the gateway to higher education and skilled employment. Understanding which youth are excluded from high school education is essential for identifying and addressing educational inequities.
High school out-of-school rates are typically 3-5 times higher than primary school rates in developing nations, indicating a dramatic escalation in educational exclusion. This pattern reveals that the majority of out-of-school youth globally are at the high school age, indicating that many students who complete middle school education do not progress to high school. Out-of-school status at the high school level results from multiple barriers. Economic constraints are severe, as families must support older youth. High schools are often located in urban centers, creating distance barriers for rural youth. Gender discrimination intensifies, particularly for girls. Early marriage, particularly for girls, increases significantly at this age. Youth employment and family responsibilities also increase. Additionally, high school education is often not compulsory, reducing enrollment incentives. Global high school out-of-school rates show the most dramatic disparities of all education levels. Developed nations typically show rates below 5%, indicating near-universal high school enrollment. Many developing countries show rates between 20-50%, reflecting significant access challenges. The lowest-performing countries show rates exceeding 80%, indicating that the vast majority of high school-age youth are not in school. Sub-Saharan Africa shows the highest high school out-of-school rates globally, with many countries exceeding 50%. South Asia also shows high rates, particularly for girls. Latin America and East Asia show lower rates, reflecting greater educational development. Developed regions show the lowest rates, with near-universal enrollment at high school level. Gender disparities in high school out-of-school rates are particularly pronounced. In many developing nations, girls' out-of-school rates at the high school level exceed boys' rates by 15-30 percentage points. Early marriage, pregnancy, and cultural restrictions on girls' education contribute significantly to this gap. Addressing high school exclusion requires targeted interventions to support girls' education. A critical pattern emerges when comparing out-of-school rates across all three levels. In many developing nations, the out-of-school rate escalates dramatically at each level. For example, in Afghanistan, the rates are: primary 27.5%, middle school 57.7%, and high school 78.7%. This indicates a progressive dropout pattern where students increasingly leave school as they advance through education levels. High school out-of-school status has profound consequences for individual and national development. Youth not in high school face severely limited economic opportunities. They typically have access only to low-skill, low-wage employment. They are more vulnerable to exploitation, including child labor and trafficking. Girls not in school are at higher risk of early marriage and pregnancy. For nations, high high school out-of-school rates indicate severe educational access problems and reflect broader development challenges. Countries with high out-of-school rates typically have lower GDP per capita, higher unemployment, and less diversified economies. Addressing high school out-of-school status is essential for breaking cycles of poverty and promoting sustainable development. Projections for 2026 show modest improvements in high school out-of-school rates globally, with rates expected to decline slightly from 2023 levels. However, these improvements are typically only 2-4 percentage points, suggesting that without significant policy interventions, current disparities will persist. The 2026 estimates are calculated using linear regression analysis based on historical trends from 2019-2023. This statistical method identifies the rate of change over recent years and projects that trend forward to 2026. The methodology examines each country's historical out-of-school rate trajectory and applies the observed trend to estimate 2026 values. All projections are constrained to the 0-100% range to ensure realistic estimates. This approach assumes that current trends will continue, which may not hold if significant policy changes or external shocks occur. The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted education globally, causing school closures and economic hardship that increased out-of-school rates in many countries. Recovery efforts and renewed investment in education infrastructure will be critical to achieving further improvements in high school out-of-school rates beyond these projections. This analysis uses UNESCO Institute for Statistics (UIS) modelled estimates of high school out-of-school rates. Modelled estimates provide consistent, comparable data across countries by using statistical techniques to fill gaps in reported data and account for different reporting methodologies. Out-of-school rates are calculated as: (Number of out-of-school youth / Total population of high school age) × 100 The data reflects 2023 actual rates (the most recent available), with 2026 projections calculated using linear regression analysis based on historical trends from 2019-2023. Using modelled estimates ensures methodological consistency across all 195 countries included in this analysis, though it is important to note that these are statistical estimates rather than direct observations. This approach allows for meaningful comparisons between countries with different education systems and reporting practices.The High School Exclusion Crisis
High School Out-of-School Rate by Country 2026
Global Patterns in High School Out-of-School Rates
Gender Dimensions of High School Exclusion
The Escalating Exclusion Pattern
Causes and Consequences of High School Out-of-School Status
2026 Projections and Methodology
High School Out-of-School Rate by Country 2026
#
1
98.8%
98.7%
2
95.9%
95.5%
3
95.8%
95.4%
4
95.7%
95.2%
5
94.7%
94.2%
6
91.1%
91.4%
7
91.1%
90.4%
8
91.1%
90.4%
9
91.1%
90.2%
10
91.1%
89.2%
11
87.9%
86.8%
12
87.9%
86.8%
13
87.9%
86.8%
14
87.9%
86.8%
15
87.7%
86.6%
16
87.9%
86.6%
17
87.7%
85.9%
18
87.7%
85.9%
19
87.9%
85.8%
20
87.9%
85.7%
21
81.1%
79.7%
22
81.1%
79.4%
23
78.7%
78.2%
24
78.7%
78.1%
25
78.7%
77.6%
26
78.7%
77.2%
27
78.7%
77.2%
28
78.7%
76.9%
29
78.7%
76.6%
30
78.7%
75.2%
31
78.7%
75.2%
32
71.1%
69.8%
33
71.1%
69.4%
34
71.1%
69.4%
35
71.1%
68.8%
36
71.1%
68.8%
37
67.9%
67.2%
38
67.9%
66.6%
39
67.9%
66.2%
40
67.9%
65.8%
41
67.9%
65.8%
42
67.9%
65.8%
43
61.1%
59.8%
44
61.1%
59.4%
45
61.1%
59.4%
46
61.1%
59.4%
47
61.1%
59.2%
48
61.1%
58.8%
49
57.9%
56.2%
50
57.9%
55.2%
51
51.1%
50.4%
52
51.1%
49.8%
53
51.1%
49.7%
54
51.1%
49.2%
55
51.1%
49.2%
56
51.1%
48.8%
57
51.1%
48.8%
58
51.1%
48.7%
59
51.1%
47.9%
60
41.1%
40.6%
61
41.1%
40.2%
62
41.1%
40.2%
63
41.1%
39.4%
64
41.1%
38.8%
65
41.1%
38.8%
66
37.9%
36.2%
67
37.9%
36.2%
68
28.8%
27.2%
69
27.7%
26.9%
70
27.7%
26.2%
71
27.7%
26.2%
72
27.7%
26.2%
73
27.7%
26.2%
74
27.7%
26.2%
75
27.7%
26.2%
76
27.7%
26.2%
77
27.7%
26.2%
78
27.7%
25.9%
79
17.9%
16.6%
80
17.9%
16.6%
81
17.9%
16.6%
82
17.9%
16.6%
83
17.9%
16.6%
84
17.9%
16.6%
85
10.7%
9.9%
86
10.7%
9.9%
87
10.7%
9.9%
88
10.7%
9.9%
89
10.7%
9.9%
90
10.7%
9.9%
91
10.7%
9.9%
92
10.7%
9.9%
93
10.7%
9.9%
94
10.7%
9.9%
95
10.7%
9.9%
96
10.7%
9.9%
97
10.7%
9.9%
98
10.7%
9.9%
99
10.7%
9.9%
100
10.7%
9.9%
101
10.7%
9.9%
102
10.7%
9.9%
103
10.7%
9.9%
104
10.7%
9.9%
105
10.7%
9.9%
106
10.7%
9.9%
107
10.7%
9.9%
108
10.7%
9.9%
109
10.7%
9.9%
110
10.7%
9.9%
111
10.7%
9.8%
112
10.7%
9.8%
113
10.7%
9.8%
114
10.7%
9.8%
115
10.7%
9.8%
116
10.7%
9.8%
117
10.7%
9.8%
118
5.8%
5.2%
119
5.8%
5.2%
120
5.8%
5.2%
121
3.9%
3.6%
122
3.7%
3.4%
123
3.8%
3.4%
124
3.7%
3.4%
125
3.8%
3.4%
126
3.7%
3.4%
127
3.7%
3.4%
128
3.8%
3.4%
129
3.7%
3.4%
130
3.7%
3.4%
131
3.8%
3.4%
132
3.8%
3.4%
133
3.7%
3.4%
134
3.7%
3.4%
135
3.7%
3.3%
136
3.3%
3%
137
3.3%
3%
138
3.3%
3%
139
3.3%
3%
140
3.3%
3%
141
3.3%
3%
142
3.3%
2.9%
143
3.2%
2.9%
144
3.2%
2.9%
145
3.2%
2.9%
146
3.2%
2.9%
147
3.2%
2.9%
148
3.2%
2.9%
149
3.2%
2.9%
150
3.2%
2.9%
151
3.2%
2.9%
152
3.2%
2.9%
153
3.2%
2.9%
154
3.2%
2.9%
155
3.2%
2.9%
156
3.2%
2.8%
157
3.1%
2.8%
158
3.1%
2.8%
159
2.7%
2.4%
160
2.7%
2.4%
161
2.4%
2.1%
162
2.2%
1.9%
163
2.2%
1.9%
164
2.2%
1.9%
Methodology and Data Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Why are high school out-of-school rates so much higher than primary rates?
A: High school education faces multiple barriers that primary education does not. Economic constraints intensify as families must support older youth. High schools are often located farther from homes, particularly in rural areas. High school education is frequently not compulsory, reducing enrollment incentives. Gender discrimination increases, particularly for girls. Early marriage, youth employment, and family responsibilities also increase at this age. Additionally, the cumulative effect of earlier dropouts means fewer youth reach high school age still in school.
Q: What is the relationship between high school out-of-school rates and economic opportunity?
A: Youth who are out of school at the high school level face severely limited economic opportunities. They typically have access only to low-skill, low-wage employment. Countries with high high school out-of-school rates typically have lower GDP per capita, higher unemployment, and less diversified economies. Conversely, countries that have reduced high school out-of-school rates have experienced significant economic benefits through a more skilled workforce and greater innovation capacity. High school completion is increasingly essential for accessing skilled employment in modern economies.
Data Disclaimer: Projected data (future years) are estimates based on mathematical models. Actual values may differ. Learn about our methodology →
Sources
-
Updated: 04.01.2026https://databrowser.uis.unesco.org/browser/EDUCATION/UIS-SDG4Monitoring/t4.1/i4.1.4
Please log in to leave a comment.
Log in
(0) Comments